The CFTC is warning prediction markets to stop dressing up event contracts like sportsbook bets, as Kalshi battles a growing state-led crackdown. With New York, Utah and Washington pushing back hard, the fight is now over whether these products are financial markets or gambling in a suit.
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Prediction markets look simple until an exchange suspends, voids, or rewrites the contract after you’re in. This piece breaks down the rulebook, the U.S. legal fight, and why on-chain markets reduce operator meddling without eliminating risk.
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Kalshi has crossed $4 billion in weekly trading volume for the first time, a milestone that says a lot about where prediction markets are heading. What used to look like a quirky side bet for nerds, traders, and political junkies is starting to look like a serious market category with real liquidity, real demand, and […]
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